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> The Inconvenient Truth....about....
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51. Wednesday, February 27, 2008 2:06 PM |
Raymond |
RE: The Inconvenient Truth....about.... |
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Let's get cranking out more carbon dioxide and fast . It only has a slight impact verses other factors, but at this rate we're entering a new ice age and those emissions are all we have going for us.
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52. Friday, March 14, 2008 6:24 PM |
Raymond |
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Weather Channel founder :Sue ALGORE for fraud !!! The founder of the Weather Channel wants to sue Al Gore for fraud, hoping a legal debate will settle the global-warming debate once and for all. John Coleman, who founded the cable network in 1982, suggests suing for fraud proponents of global warming, including Al Gore, and companies that sell carbon credits. "Is he committing financial fraud? That is the question," Coleman said. "Since we can't get a debate, I thought perhaps if we had a legal challenge and went into a court of law, where it was our scientists and their scientists, and all the legal proceedings with the discovery and all their documents from both sides and scientific testimony from both sides, we could finally get a good solid debate on the issue," Coleman said. "I'm confident that the advocates of 'no significant effect from carbon dioxide' would win the case." Coleman says his side of the global-warming debate is being buried in mainstream media circles. "As you look at the atmosphere over the last 25 years, there's been perhaps a degree of warming, perhaps probably a whole lot less than that, and the last year has been so cold that that's been erased," he said.
"I think if we continue the cooling trend a couple of more years, the general public will at last begin to realize that they've been scammed on this global-warming thing... http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,337710,00.html
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53. Friday, March 14, 2008 6:22 PM |
Raymond |
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COMMENTARY/Climate panel on the hot seatBy H. Sterling Burnett March 14, 2008 More than 20 years ago, climate scientists began to raise alarms over the possibility global temperatures were rising due to human activities, such as deforestation and the burning of fossil fuels.
To better understand this potential threat, the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations created the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 1988 to provide a "comprehensive, objective, scientific, technical and socioeconomic assessment of human-caused climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation."
IPCC reports have predicted average world temperatures will increase dramatically, leading to the spread of tropical diseases, severe drought, the rapid melting of the world's glaciers and ice caps, and rising sea levels. However, several assessments of the IPCC's work have shown the techniques and methods used to derive its climate predictions are fundamentally flawed.
In a 2001 report, the IPCC published an image commonly referred to as the "hockey stick." This graph showed relatively stable temperatures from A.D. 1000 to 1900, with temperatures rising steeply from 1900 to 2000. The IPCC and public figures, such as former Vice President Al Gore, have used the hockey stick to support the conclusion that human energy use over the last 100 years has caused unprecedented rise global warming.
However, several studies cast doubt on the accuracy of the hockey stick, and in 2006 Congress requested an independent analysis of it. A panel of statisticians chaired by Edward J. Wegman, of George Mason University, found significant problems with the methods of statistical analysis used by the researchers and with the IPCC's peer review process. For example, the researchers who created the hockey stick used the wrong time scale to establish the mean temperature to compare with recorded temperatures of the last century. Because the mean temperature was low, the recent temperature rise seemed unusual and dramatic. This error was not discovered in part because statisticians were never consulted.
Furthermore, the community of specialists in ancient climates from which the peer reviewers were drawn was small and many of them had ties to the original authors — 43 paleoclimatologists had previously coauthored papers with the lead researcher who constructed the hockey stick.
These problems led Mr. Wegman's team to conclude that the idea that the planet is experiencing unprecedented global warming "cannot be supported."
The IPCC published its Fourth Assessment Report in 2007 predicting global warming will lead to widespread catastrophe if not mitigated, yet failed to provide the most basic requirement for effective climate policy: accurate temperature statistics. A number of weaknesses in the measurements include the fact temperatures aren't recorded from large areas of the Earth's surface and many weather stations once in undeveloped areas are now surrounded by buildings, parking lots and other heat-trapping structures resulting in an urban-heat-island effect.... http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080314/COMMENTARY/702895001/home.html
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54. Wednesday, March 19, 2008 7:19 PM |
belladawna |
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i have to say hmmmm... lmao not for the obvious reason but in general. i forgot my old username from like 2003(ish) and password so i just made a new one!! LOL interesting read this thread. glad that people can look at both sides of this issue and try-key word here- try to make some small changes. but yeah, it was pretty sad when al gore got nailed for not even having his farm up to code..... he changed that pretty quick and glad that he won the nobel peace prize. i mean if you think about some of the logical changes people can make for the better then it's not such a bad thing ya know?!?! i've done alot of research on this from getting a lil' certif. in forensic science and looking into something regarding environmental sciences or whatnot, not sure yet but... anyhow, let me digress and say that from all this reading and researching it's fascinating to me to see what's really happening in those areas and hearing about a possibility of something under there eh? i mean we all can slam each other with facts and figures from both sides, but don't ya think that if there is a possibility that this could get a whole lot worse- which the news reports and facts show- don't ya think it might be good thing to listen to some of the truth from this inconvenient issue eh? just a humble thought tis' all.... hugs to all and glad to see this place is still around 
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55. Wednesday, March 19, 2008 8:33 PM |
KahlanMnel |
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Yeah, I'm actually a student of environmental science and I've just plain given up on even having conversations about this topic. Neither side wants to actually listen, they just enjoy poking fun at each other. All I can say is this...the term "global warming" is a misnomer. The more accurate term would be "global climate change" and once again I reiterate that neither side of the coin has enough solid, accurate science to support theories for or against it. But, like I said back on page two, it's generally a good idea for us to clean up our acts anyhow. The mindless consumerism that runs rampant in the US alone is embarrassing. We'll slap "Keep Tahoe Blue!" bumper stickers on our SUV's and act like we're not walking oxymorons. The problem is that people are comfortable with their current habits and levels of consumption and until something exceedingly drastic happens, they're not going to change. Not even for the current "Go green!" fad. At any rate, I give up on having these discussions. Instead, I will continue my studies and get my degrees and work behind the scenes figuring out how this wacky planet works. At least it won't ignore me or write me off as yet another nutty liberal.
~ Amanda "Just fear me, love me, do as I say and I will be your slave..."
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56. Wednesday, March 19, 2008 8:34 PM |
Raymond |
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Welcome back belladawna! You can't remember your old username / Oh well...
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57. Thursday, March 20, 2008 6:18 PM |
belladawna |
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QUOTE: Yeah, I'm actually a student of environmental science and I've just plain given up on even having conversations about this topic. Neither side wants to actually listen, they just enjoy poking fun at each other. All I can say is this...the term "global warming" is a misnomer. The more accurate term would be "global climate change" and once again I reiterate that neither side of the coin has enough solid, accurate science to support theories for or against it. But, like I said back on page two, it's generally a good idea for us to clean up our acts anyhow. The mindless consumerism that runs rampant in the US alone is embarrassing. We'll slap "Keep Tahoe Blue!" bumper stickers on our SUV's and act like we're not walking oxymorons. The problem is that people are comfortable with their current habits and levels of consumption and until something exceedingly drastic happens, they're not going to change. Not even for the current "Go green!" fad. At any rate, I give up on having these discussions. Instead, I will continue my studies and get my degrees and work behind the scenes figuring out how this wacky planet works. At least it won't ignore me or write me off as yet another nutty liberal. |
amen!! it is sad that people can't be consistent in their beliefs. to me if you cannot go out to those marches or afford those parties then do the mailing list thing and web march thing(no pun intended but ahhhh...) to me people need to evolve a little bit. this backwards trend against doing anything productive makes me very sad to read. you've got people with facts in their face that you can eat tofu/soy products and it will lower(significantly) your chances of getting a heart attack and you get the same if not more protein from that choice. so.... it's so odd to me when people cannot see those facts and are quick to go "noway" and not even look into it. i mean that's the whole point for people to get fired up and look into it. i mean how lazy can every friggin american person be? almost 75% or more of americans know how to use a computer and even can look into these current event topics eh? that is what really gets me into a tizzy when you cannot even rationally discuss these things due to feeling like hitting your head against a brick wall. i know people joke and tease each other time to time, sometimes things come across easier in the comedic sense. i do not know for certain but people do listen when there is a sense of "lightness" involving a "heavy" topic that some people take very seriously, as do i but i add the LOL and LMAO to try to keep it from making those people feel uncomfortable. all i can say is i hope you continue to speak on these topics as i've enjoyed reading them. it can be frustrating to have all the facts from your studies and hearing and listening to the opposing viewpoints of the topic as well.... i know my brain is a weebit fried from all the forensic reading and psychology reading hence the looking into environmental forensic side. so much for light reading on the environmental science issues too!! haha it just seems to me that it's a no-brainer. try to use less and if you can try to eat organic meats and use eco-friendly products that ARE eco-friendly. lol * i use the lol term here due to current events regarding greenwashing companies that shouldn't be putting organic on their labels if they aren't* nasty lil' companies they are!!  that is really the whole message. to do something to help out. period. either way to change something to make the world better seems like such a no-brainer ya know? i think people will get the idea in their heads that it's not gonna hurt to save some $$ in the long run and do something, even if it's not going to effect their lifespan, do something now to help out the future. after all it's the future we're talking about right? because today is already over and tomorrow is the future eh?  p.s. thank you for the welcome back.
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58. Monday, April 28, 2008 3:40 PM |
Raymond |
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A UN official has declared that " biofuels are a crime against humanity". Government tinkering with the economy via biofuel subsidies is a disaster. Biofuel production I read produces more CO2 than the use of oil and biofuel production is more expensive ( 2 to 5 times)than using hyper priced oil. Millions of people may starve as 30% of corn crop goes to biofuel companies. And algore gets an Academy Award and a Nobel Prize.  Friday, 25 April 2008 A remarkable thing happened Thursday: a press member wanted to ask Nobel Laureate Al Gore about the growing international food crisis and how it relates to ethanol and global warming hysteria. Not surprisingly, the man who cast the tie-breaking vote in the Senate fourteen years ago mandating the use of ethanol wasn't available, and a spokesman for his hysteria-driving Alliance for Climate Protection declined to comment. How convenient.
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59. Tuesday, April 29, 2008 12:14 PM |
Booth |
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QUOTE: A UN official has declared that " biofuels are a crime against humanity". Government tinkering with the economy via biofuel subsidies is a disaster. Biofuel production I read produces more CO2 than the use of oil and biofuel production is more expensive ( 2 to 5 times)than using hyper priced oil. Millions of people may starve as 30% of corn crop goes to biofuel companies. |
"Biofuels are a crime against humanity" is a great thing to say to get attention. What he said after that was that it is a crime to use perfectly viable foodstuff to make fuel and if we held off for a few years we would be able to make fuel out of the waste, such as corncobs and banana leaves. It's like someone with a rhino farm killing them for their horns so that someone can buy it thinking it will give them a boner, but leaving the meat to go to waste.
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60. Tuesday, April 29, 2008 6:56 PM |
Raymond |
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Let me say that this is the way to go in developing alternative energy, that is to say private investment, so Al is on the right track here. ( I am sure his biofuel companies are bathing in the government subsidies. ) It does make one ask however: " How much money has Al made on this whole subject ?" The book ,the movie, the (cough) carbon credits company, the college budget busting speaking tour, heading the multi billion dollar funds, donations, etc. Al is making many millions off this campaign. One has to hand it to him. You have really scored with this one Al. (even if world hunger and instability is the result)  http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f78fbec2-161b-11dd-880a-0000779fd2ac.html?nclick_check=1
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61. Wednesday, April 30, 2008 7:44 AM |
KahlanMnel |
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QUOTE: Government tinkering with the economy via biofuel subsidies is a disaster. Biofuel production I read produces more CO2 than the use of oil and biofuel production is more expensive ( 2 to 5 times)than using hyper priced oil. Millions of people may starve as 30% of corn crop goes to biofuel companies. |
Well this statement is only partially true. (gosh I love being an ES student) What you state about the crops used for biofuel causing starvation is correct. It's the big concern amongst true scientists at the moment because they can't seem to get the government or other parties to understand the full effects of using our food crops for fuel production. Previously ethanol was made from the low-grade corn that the USDA wouldn't certify for human consumption. Which worked out well...it would either become feed grain for livestock or used for corn-based byproducts such as disposable silverware or biofuel. But with the sudden rush to suck up alternative fuels and move away from oil, they're starting to use the food-grade corn now, as well as other food-grade grains. I agree with the UN's statement 100% and a lot of scientists do too. None of my professors has advocated the current biofuel trend in any way. Currently the only reason the production of biofuels is more expensive than the production of petroleum products is scale. In the grand scheme of economics, biofuel plants are inefficient producers at the moment because they haven't been able to grow their plants to a capacity that makes it more profitable nor are they producing at an efficient capacity (in other words, their fixed cost exceed their marginal revenue in the short-run, but the variable costs help a little in the meantime). Were a biofuel plant to be built the size of an oil refinery and have the influx of raw materials that oil refineries do, we'd see a large dip in production costs, which would eventually lead to a dip in biofuel cost. The raw materials themselves are cheaper...there's just not enough of them coming in to make large-scale production feasible. Unfortunately, this upswing in biofuel interest has come at the worst time. Economy's already in the toilet, so now we're raping the food sources and driving up grain prices so we can "go green"? Not smart. There are multiple alternatives and I'm not so sure why none of them are being explored to the extent that ethanol is. Probably because the oil corporations have a hand in ethanol production, so. There you go. Biofuels do not generally increase CO2. They reduce CO2 emissions, as well as CO and particulate matter. SO2 emissions are eliminated because most biofuel does not contain sulphur. If a mix is being used (which happens...it's not uncommon to see biodiesel/diesel mixes...) then I can see where someone would find the ability to produce data to the contrary. NOx emissions may or may not increase, depending on the engine of the vehicle using the biofuel. The production of biofuel does not create harmful byproducts either. For example, the production of biodiesel produces ethyl ester (biodiesel) and glycerol. IMO...the government and the media need to shut up and go away for a while. Whenever those two get involved in anything, nothing good can come of it. Al Gore still has no shame for receiving a prize that should have gone to people who actually earned it rather than someone who attempted a sea change with misrepresentation of facts and outright falsification of data. I'm not saying that the base message he's sending isn't good...that we need to adjust our consumption habits and look at better ways of treating the environment...but it's so muddied up with his methods and his habit of talking out both sides of his mouth that all he will do is taint the whole green movement and take us backwards instead of forwards.
~ Amanda "Just fear me, love me, do as I say and I will be your slave..."
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62. Wednesday, May 7, 2008 10:31 PM |
Raymond |
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So ah, Alie G could not be found to comment re the biofeuls/starvation report a couple weeks ago but he is right there to say the Burma (Myanmar)typhoon is caused by " global warming " (not climate change Amanda :) And it has surfaced that some of Al's " An Inconvenient Thruth " was lifted from some computer generated geographic glacier scene from a fantasy movie. Al is the King of con
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63. Thursday, May 8, 2008 6:18 PM |
KahlanMnel |
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QUOTE: So ah, Alie G could not be found to comment re the biofeuls/starvation report a couple weeks ago but he is right there to say the Burma (Myanmar)typhoon is caused by " global warming " (not climate change Amanda :) |
Yeah, You can totally see why I'm just appalled by him. When I read that he'd declared "global warming" to be the cause of a recent cyclone and he continued to crap on about how dire this coming hurricane season would be because of "global warming"...I almost jumped out the damn window. He's relentless. I'll give him that much. Persistent to the point of insanity. It's irritating that we can't get someone like him to address the alt fuels/grain issue. It's like him and his fanboys didn't bother to read up on the entire process ahead of time and spend a few moments thinking about cause-and-effect and instead just went "OMG BIOFUELS ROCK!" and hoped it would be the magic bullet that would shut us up about oil and gas prices. So glad all these Ivy League-educated people are running our government. 
~ Amanda "Just fear me, love me, do as I say and I will be your slave..."
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64. Saturday, May 10, 2008 3:32 PM |
Raymond |
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Amanda , I heard Obama use the term " global warming" today as Al G did, But to credit where do John McCain did indeed use the correct term " global climate change ". I'm using that two different names as a first test of- in the know on the subject-based on Amanda's more correct term. In other words I take a pol using warming with less belief than a source using climate change. One base to touch indicating more understanding of the situation. The green theme is ubiquitous by the way- My service providers and credit card people are all pushing the green angle in there business advertising marketing model.
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65. Wednesday, May 14, 2008 4:24 PM |
Raymond |
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"...the lack of encouragement from the government for drilling and supporting natural gas and the endless belief in the most unrealistic clean fuel imaginable -- corn-based ethanol (I believe in sugar-based) -- makes us a worldwide laughingstock. We have so much natural gas in the Rockies and Wyoming, but it is thwarted by environmentalists endlessly. I am a true environmentalist and have worked hard and given a lot of land to land preservation. Yet I cannot stomach the endless defenses of animal habitats that have to be suspended for now until we fix this situation. And ANWR? I have fought this one forever, but I now concede it can't be fought anymore. It has to be drilled. We have to get this stuff moving right now. [ it will take 14 years should have been passed under Clinton 14 years ago. IMO] We are truly pathetic about energy. No help for clean coal, no support for natural gas. Nothing. We are our own worst enemy." Jim Cramer CNBC DEmocrat and Environmentalist. On the tax front , I just want to note that the US is the most punitive developed or emerging country in tax levels for business. The rest of the world has learned and implemented less corp tax, has embraced capitalism, are pro business and are all doing exceedingly well as the US losses. Most recently Russia has reduced production taxes- this done by Putin and his hand picked successor- A former Communist, KGB leader !! European countries with a big slice government sector with use and personal income taxes are smarter about business and energy. The Netherlands is now drilling off its coast. France gets 80% of its power from nuclear sites as examples. Amanda, I had the thought that you embody a second or third wave of environmentalists. I see it as looking critically at studies and evidence. Considered in it's views and willing to spotlight energy approaches that have problems. All without hysteria or stacking the deck. Most folks, even me, would like to see the earth be stewarded in a good way. Even as we realize there may be forces beyond our control that may weigh very heavy in the mix of Global Climate Change. ( Yikes, I hope it doesn't seem like I'm putting words in your mouth Amanda. Heaven knows you write your posts with much more thought and knowledge than I do. OK ?)
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66. Thursday, May 15, 2008 6:11 PM |
Raymond |
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With the Reps in the White House and until a year ago in the congress this decade we endured a costly in dollars and casualties Iraq war that was done on a shoestring under Rumsfeld with little planning for dealing with Shia, Suni and Kurds. Bush didn't veto spending bills and was not concerned with our borders. But now with a Dem prez most likely and a big Dem advantage in congress also likely, I am concerned with new inefficient bureaucracies and ill thought out expensive legislation. As an example of what may come sooner if not later, here is an article on a frightening bill guaranteed to cause ecomic peril. IMO. http://www.businessandmedia.org/articles/2008/20080515172437.aspx
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67. Sunday, June 1, 2008 8:29 PM |
Raymond |
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Using the most realisticly applicable green guides the US should develope their own oil, gas, and cleaner coals. Of course simultaneously practice conservation, of course use a shotgum approach developing solar, wind at al. But to be the only nation that is not developing it's natural resources (that's the US folks) is unrealistic and a set up for economic hardship as we have never seen. IMO. "Poverty is the worst form of pollution and only wealthy countries can afford to practice pollution and climate control. To paraphrase Heroditus: It is better to be envied than pitied. As the rich trade in their SUVs for hybrids, the car lots overflow with them. Soon, being cheap and plentiful these are the only vehicles the poor can afford. But can they afford to put gas in them. By not developing Americas domestic resources we reduce the amount of OPEC oil available to other countries and put upward pressure on the prices citizens of Europe and Japan pay at the pump. If the US Government spent a trillion dollars over 8 years on domestic oil production from known reserves in the Gulf of Mexico, the Continental Shelf and coal gasification instead of War in Iraq gas would be $2 a gallon or less. America could quit sending billions to countries that sponsor terrorism. And reducing our trade imbalance keeps jobs in America. Every billion of trade deficit costs 13,000 jobs. $400 billion for oil last year: do the math." Ben Double-who ever he is- i haven't checked his figures but endorse most of his line. Not sure the Heroditus quote is exactly germaine here. And, I propose that the government would not have to pay a trillion dollars as in a protracted war. Private enterprise will provide capital and efficiently develope energy projects. Energy needs and climate concerns must find common ground for the best short, mid., and long term good of the population.
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68. Monday, June 2, 2008 1:30 PM |
Booth |
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QUOTE: As the rich trade in their SUVs for hybrids, the car lots overflow with them. Soon, being cheap and plentiful these are the only vehicles the poor can afford. But can they afford to put gas in them. | That's where public transportation comes in. Good old public transportation. How I hate it.
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69. Tuesday, June 17, 2008 7:19 PM |
Raymond |
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" June 17, 2008 Tennesee Center for Policy Research Energy Guzzled by Al Gore’s Home in Past Year Could Power 232 U.S. Homes for a Month Gore’s personal electricity consumption up 10%, despite “energy-efficient” home renovations
NASHVILLE - In the year since Al Gore took steps to make his home more energy-efficient, the former Vice President’s home energy use surged more than 10%, according to the Tennessee Center for Policy Research.
“A man’s commitment to his beliefs is best measured by what he does behind the closed doors of his own home,” said Drew Johnson, President of the Tennessee Center for Policy Research. “Al Gore is a hypocrite and a fraud when it comes to his commitment to the environment, judging by his home energy consumption.”
In the past year, after the green renovations, Gore’s home burned through 213,210 kilowatt-hours (kWh) of electricity, enough to power 232 average American households for a month.
In February 2007, An Inconvenient Truth, a film based on a climate change speech developed by Gore, won an Academy Award for best documentary feature. The next day, the Tennessee Center for Policy Research uncovered that Gore’s Nashville home alone guzzled 20 times more electricity than the average American household.
After the Tennessee Center for Policy Research exposed Gore’s massive home energy use, the former Vice President scurried to make his home more energy-efficient. Despite adding solar panels, installing a geothermal system, replacing existing light bulbs with more efficient models, and overhauling the home’s windows and ductwork, Gore now consumes 10 % more electricity than before the “green” overhaul.
Since taking steps to make his home more environmentally-friendly last June, Gore devours an average of 17,768 kWh per month –1,638 kWh more energy per month than before the renovations – at a cost of $16,533. By comparison, the average American household consumes 11,040 kWh in an entire year, according to the Energy Information Administration.
In the wake of becoming the most well-known global warming alarmist, Gore won an Oscar, a Grammy and the Nobel Peace Prize. In addition, Gore saw his personal wealth increase by an estimated $100 million thanks largely to speaking fees and investments related to global warming hysteria.
“Actions speak louder than words, and Gore’s actions prove that he views climate change not as a serious problem, but as a money-making opportunity,” Johnson said. “Gore is exploiting the public’s concern about the environment to line his pockets and enhance his profile.”
The Tennessee Center for Policy Research, a Nashville-based free market think tank and watchdog organization, obtained information about Gore’s home energy use through a public records request to the Nashville Electric Service. " http://tennesseepolicy.org/main/article.php?article_id=764
The Tennessee Center for Policy Research is an independent, nonprofit and nonpartisan research organization committed to achieving a freer, more prosperous Tennessee through the ideas of liberty. Visit TCPR online at: www.tennesseepolicy.org.
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70. Saturday, July 5, 2008 9:12 AM |
nuart |
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Saw this in the Wall Street Journal the other day and it's stayed with me since. That's why I'm sharing it with you all. A deep breath of fresh air and a truckload of perspective follow: GLOBAL VIEW By BRET STEPHENS |  |
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| Global Warming as Mass Neurosis July 1, 2008; Page A15 Last week marked the 20th anniversary of the mass hysteria phenomenon known as global warming. Much of the science has since been discredited. Now it's time for political scientists, theologians and psychiatrists to weigh in. What, discredited? Thousands of scientists insist otherwise, none more noisily than NASA's Jim Hansen, who first banged the gong with his June 23, 1988, congressional testimony (delivered with all the modesty of "99% confidence"). ![[Global Warming as Mass Neurosis]](http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/images/ED-AH813_glovie_20080630171632.jpg) | AP | The New True Believers | But mother nature has opinions of her own. NASA now begrudgingly confirms that the hottest year on record in the continental 48 was not 1998, as previously believed, but 1934, and that six of the 10 hottest years since 1880 antedate 1954. Data from 3,000 scientific robots in the world's oceans show there has been slight cooling in the past five years, never mind that "80% to 90% of global warming involves heating up ocean waters," according to a report by NPR's Richard Harris. The Arctic ice cap may be thinning, but the extent of Antarctic sea ice has been expanding for years. At least as of February, last winter was the Northern Hemisphere's coldest in decades. In May, German climate modelers reported in the journal Nature that global warming is due for a decade-long vacation. But be not not-afraid, added the modelers: The inexorable march to apocalypse resumes in 2020. This last item is, of course, a forecast, not an empirical observation. But it raises a useful question: If even slight global cooling remains evidence of global warming, what isn't evidence of global warming? What we have here is a nonfalsifiable hypothesis, logically indistinguishable from claims for the existence of God. This doesn't mean God doesn't exist, or that global warming isn't happening. It does mean it isn't science. So let's stop fussing about the interpretation of ice core samples from the South Pole and temperature readings in the troposphere. The real place where discussions of global warming belong is in the realm of belief, and particularly the motives for belief. I see three mutually compatible explanations. The first is as a vehicle of ideological convenience. Socialism may have failed as an economic theory, but global warming alarmism, with its dire warnings about the consequences of industry and consumerism, is equally a rebuke to capitalism. Take just about any other discredited leftist nostrum of yore – population control, higher taxes, a vast new regulatory regime, global economic redistribution, an enhanced role for the United Nations – and global warming provides a justification. One wonders what the left would make of a scientific "consensus" warning that some looming environmental crisis could only be averted if every college-educated woman bore six children: Thumbs to "patriarchal" science; curtains to the species. A second explanation is theological. Surely it is no accident that the principal catastrophe predicted by global warming alarmists is diluvian in nature. Surely it is not a coincidence that modern-day environmentalists are awfully biblical in their critique of the depredations of modern society: "And it repented the LORD that he had made man on the earth, and it grieved him at his heart." That's Genesis, but it sounds like Jim Hansen. And surely it is in keeping with this essentially religious outlook that the "solutions" chiefly offered to global warming involve radical changes to personal behavior, all of them with an ascetic, virtue-centric bent: drive less, buy less, walk lightly upon the earth and so on. A light carbon footprint has become the 21st-century equivalent of sexual abstinence. Finally, there is a psychological explanation. Listen carefully to the global warming alarmists, and the main theme that emerges is that what the developed world needs is a large dose of penance. What's remarkable is the extent to which penance sells among a mostly secular audience. What is there to be penitent about? As it turns out, a lot, at least if you're inclined to believe that our successes are undeserved and that prosperity is morally suspect. In this view, global warming is nature's great comeuppance, affirming as nothing else our guilty conscience for our worldly success. In "The Varieties of Religious Experience," William James distinguishes between healthy, life-affirming religion and the monastically inclined, "morbid-minded" religion of the sick-souled. Global warming is sick-souled religion.
“Half a truth is often a great lie.” Ben Franklin
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71. Saturday, July 5, 2008 10:05 AM |
Booth |
RE: The Inconvenient Truth....about.... |
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QUOTE: What we have here is a nonfalsifiable hypothesis, logically indistinguishable from claims for the existence of God. This doesn't mean God doesn't exist, or that global warming isn't happening. It does mean it isn't science.. | You hear that, Discovery Institute?
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72. Tuesday, September 9, 2008 11:09 PM |
bio_hazard |
RE: The Inconvenient Truth....about.... |
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Wow- kind of surprised at all the climate change disbelievers here. Is all TPG kind of right-leaning, or just this forum? Most of the links I've seen above are Washington Times or DontMessWithCapitalismKeepTheOilFlowing.org I'll agree on biofuels, but think the debate needs to be reframed. I'd love to see biofuels made out of native perennial prairie- could support wildlife, and if harvested in a reasonable way would need very little replanting. Ecosystem services- yeah. People are working on this, but obviously the corn lobby is powerful.
I do find it funny to see the global warming is a left wing conspiracy theory. You all realize that members of the national academy of sciences all have retirement plans with mutual funds tied to the same markets that everyone else is worried about? We can't go zero-oil immediately or even for the forseable future, and domestic energy is good. But handing the keys to the kingdom to the energy industry now would be a horrible idea and result in serious damage. So far: Bush has gutted oversight by the gov't departments in charge of handing out and monitoring energy leases, and just recently made an executive order to forbid other agencies (like EPA or USFWS) from assessing impacts in other government agencies. This really means no regulations on the energy companies, and they have some pretty sweet [/sarcasm] kinds of tobacco science going on (btw- I have colleagues with first-hand knowledge of CBM/Nat Gas in the Mont/Wyo/Colo region).
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73. Wednesday, December 10, 2008 5:24 PM |
Raymond |
RE: The Inconvenient Truth....about.... |
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I know, I am the evil skeptic of The Church of Global Warming ( more correct term should be Climate Change ). And here is yet another piece challenging the concept : " UN Blowback: More Than 650 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims December 10, 2008 Posted by Marc Morano – 9:36 AM ET - Marc_Morano@EPW.Senate.GOV UN Blowback: More Than 650 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims Study: Half of warming due to Sun! –Sea Levels Fail to Rise? - Warming Fears in 'Dustbin of History' POZNAN, Poland - The UN global warming conference currently underway in Poland is about to face a serious challenge from over 650 dissenting scientists from around the globe who are criticizing the climate claims made by the UN IPCC and former Vice President Al Gore. Set for release this week, a newly updated U.S. Senate Minority Report features the dissenting voices of over 650 international scientists, many current and former UN IPCC scientists, who have now turned against the UN. The report has added about 250 scientists (and growing) in 2008 to the over 400 scientists who spoke out in 2007. The over 650 dissenting scientists are more than 12 times the number of UN scientists (52) who authored the media hyped IPCC 2007 Summary for Policymakers. The U.S. Senate report is the latest evidence of the growing groundswell of scientific opposition rising to challenge the UN and Gore. Scientific meetings are now being dominated by a growing number of skeptical scientists. The prestigious International Geological Congress, dubbed the geologists' equivalent of the Olympic Games, was held in Norway in August 2008 and prominently featured the voices and views of scientists skeptical of man-made global warming fears. [See Full report Here: & See: Skeptical scientists overwhelm conference: '2/3 of presenters and question-askers were hostile to, even dismissive of, the UN IPCC' ] Full Senate Report Set To Be Released in the Next 24 Hours – Stay Tuned… A hint of what the upcoming report contains: “I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” - Nobel Prize Winner for Physics, Ivar Giaever. “Since I am no longer affiliated with any organization nor receiving any funding, I can speak quite frankly….As a scientist I remain skeptical.” - Atmospheric Scientist Dr. Joanne Simpson, the first woman in the world to receive a PhD in meteorology and formerly of NASA who has authored more than 190 studies and has been called “among the most preeminent scientists of the last 100 years.” Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” - UN IPCC Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical chemist. “The IPCC has actually become a closed circuit; it doesn’t listen to others. It doesn’t have open minds… I am really amazed that the Nobel Peace Prize has been given on scientifically incorrect conclusions by people who are not geologists,” - Indian geologist Dr. Arun D. Ahluwalia at Punjab University and a board member of the UN-supported International Year of the Planet. “The models and forecasts of the UN IPCC "are incorrect because they only are based on mathematical models and presented results at scenarios that do not include, for example, solar activity.” - Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at the Institute of Geophysics of the National Autonomous University of Mexico “It is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a fringe of scientists who don’t buy into anthropogenic global warming.” - U.S Government Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane Research Division of NOAA. “Even doubling or tripling the amount of carbon dioxide will virtually have little impact, as water vapour and water condensed on particles as clouds dominate the worldwide scene and always will.” – . Geoffrey G. Duffy, a professor in the Department of Chemical and Materials Engineering of the University of Auckland, NZ. “After reading [UN IPCC chairman] Pachauri's asinine comment [comparing skeptics to] Flat Earthers, it's hard to remain quiet.” - Climate statistician Dr. William M. Briggs, who specializes in the statistics of forecast evaluation, serves on the American Meteorological Society's Probability and Statistics Committee and is an Associate Editor of Monthly Weather Review. “For how many years must the planet cool before we begin to understand that the planet is not warming? For how many years must cooling go on?" - Geologist Dr. David Gee the chairman of the science committee of the 2008 International Geological Congress who has authored 130 plus peer reviewed papers, and is currently at Uppsala University in Sweden. “Gore prompted me to start delving into the science again and I quickly found myself solidly in the skeptic camp…Climate models can at best be useful for explaining climate changes after the fact.” - Meteorologist Hajo Smit of Holland, who reversed his belief in man-made warming to become a skeptic, is a former member of the Dutch UN IPCC committee. “Many [scientists] are now searching for a way to back out quietly (from promoting warming fears), without having their professional careers ruined.” - Atmospheric physicist James A. Peden, formerly of the Space Research and Coordination Center in Pittsburgh. “Creating an ideology pegged to carbon dioxide is a dangerous nonsense…The present alarm on climate change is an instrument of social control, a pretext for major businesses and political battle. It became an ideology, which is concerning.” - Environmental Scientist Professor Delgado Domingos of Portugal, the founder of the Numerical Weather Forecast group, has more than 150 published articles. “CO2 emissions make absolutely no difference one way or another….Every scientist knows this, but it doesn’t pay to say so…Global warming, as a political vehicle, keeps Europeans in the driver’s seat and developing nations walking barefoot.” - Dr. Takeda Kunihiko, vice-chancellor of the Institute of Science and Technology Research at Chubu University in Japan. “The [global warming] scaremongering has its justification in the fact that it is something that generates funds.” - Award-winning Paleontologist Dr. Eduardo Tonni, of the Committee for Scientific Research in Buenos Aires and head of the Paleontology Department at the University of La Plata. # # In addition, the report will feature new peer-reviewed scientific studies and analyses refuting man-made warming fears and a heavy dose of inconvenient climate developments. (See Below: Study: Half of warming due to Sun! –Sea Levels Fail to Rise? - Warming Fears in 'Dustbin of History') The Senate Minority Report is an update of 2007’s blockbuster U.S. Senate Minority Report of over 400 dissenting scientists. See here: This new report will contain the names, quotes and analyses of literally hundreds of additional international scientists who publicly dissented from man-made climate fears in just 2008 alone. The chorus of scientific voices skeptical grow louder as a steady stream of peer-reviewed studies, analyses and real world data challenge the UN and former Vice President Al Gore's claims that the "science is settled" and there is a "consensus." The original 2007 U.S. Senate report is available here: Full Report Set To Be Released in the Next 24 Hours – Stay Tuned… Meanwhile, while the UN climate conference is in session here in Poznan, the bad scientific news for promoters of man-made climate alarm just keeps rolling in. Below is a very small sampling of very inconvenient developments for Gore, the United Nations, and their promoters in the mainstream media. Peer-reviewed studies, analyses, and prominent scientists continue to speak out to refute climate fears. The data presented below is just from the past week. # Peer-reviewed study: Half of recent warming was solar! - December 10, 2008 Excerpt: In this dose of peer-reviewed skeptical climatological literature, we follow Climate Research News. The blog was intrigued by a new article in Geophysical Research Letters that was accepted on Friday, December 5th. Eichler, A., S. Olivier, K. Henderson, A. Laube, J. Beer, T. Papina, H. W. Gäggeler, and M. Schwikowski: Temperature response in the Altai region lags solar forcing - Recall that the Siberian Altai Mountains are found at the intersection of Russia, China, Mongolia, and Kazakhstan. The authors looked at 750 years worth of the local ice core, especially the oxygen isotope. They claim to have found a very strong correlation between the concentration of this isotope (i.e. temperature) on one side and the known solar activity in the epoch 1250-1850. Their data seem to be precise enough to determine the lag, about 10-30 years. It takes some time for the climate to respond to the solar changes. It seems that they also have data to claim that the correlation gets less precise after 1850. They attribute the deviation to CO2 and by comparing the magnitude of the forcings, they conclude that "Our results are in agreement with studies based on NH temperature reconstructions [Scafetta et al., 2007] revealing that only up to approximately 50% of the observed global warming in the last 100 years can be explained by the Sun." Well, the word "only" is somewhat cute in comparison with the "mainstream" fashionable ideology. The IPCC said that they saw a 90% probability that "most" of the recent warming was man-made. The present paper would reduce this figure, 90%, to less than 50% because the Sun itself is responsible for 1/2 of the warming and not the whole 50% of the warming could have been caused by CO2 because there are other effects, too. Note that if 0.3 °C or 0.4 °C of warming in the 20th century was due to the increasing CO2 levels, the climate sensitivity is decisively smaller than 1 °C. At any rate, the expected 21st century warming due to CO2 would be another 0.3-0.4 °C, and this time, if the solar activity contributes with the opposite sign, these two effects could cancel. Even if you try to stretch these numbers a little bit - but not unrealistically - you have to become sure that the participants of the Poznan conference are lunatics. Flashback: New scientific analysis shows Sun “could account for as much as 69% of the increase in Earth's average temperature” (LINK) & (LINK) Dr. Bruce West, A U.S Army Chief Scientist, Says Sun, Not Man, Is Driving Climate Change – June 3, 2008 – (LINK) 21 spotless days and solar magnetic field still in a funk – Meteorologist Anthony Watts Excerpt: We are now at 21 days with no sunspots, it will be interesting to see if we reach a spotless 30 day period and then perhaps a spotless month of December. New Arctic ice analysis reveals ‘No clear evidence of a delay in the start of the later summer/early fall freeze up or the start of the late winter/early spring melt’ – Excerpt: Based on analysis by William Chapman, author of The Cryosphere Today website, graciously prepared an analysis of the dates of the minimum and maximum Arctic sea ice coverage since 1979. Oscillation Rules as the Pacific Cools – December 9, 2008 Excerpt: A cool wedge of lower-than-normal sea-surface heights continues to dominate the tropical Pacific, ringed by a horseshoe of warmer waters. The continuation of this long-term cool phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation stacks the odds against a wetter-than-average winter/spring in the southwestern United States. The latest image of sea-surface height measurements from the U.S./French Jason-1 oceanography satellite shows the Pacific Ocean remains locked in a strong, cool phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, a large, long-lived pattern of climate variability in the Pacific associated with a general cooling of Pacific waters. […] Sea-surface temperature satellite data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration mirror Jason sea-surface height measurements, clearly showing a cool Pacific Decadal Oscillation pattern, as seen at: http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/sst/sst.anom.gif . "This multi-year Pacific Decadal Oscillation 'cool' trend can cause La Niña-like impacts around the Pacific basin," said Bill Patzert, an oceanographer and climatologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. […] This cool phase will likely persist this winter and, perhaps, beyond. Report: Sea Level rise 'has stumbled since 2005' – Meteorologist Anthony Watts – December 5, 2008 Excerpt: We’ve been waiting for the UC web page to be updated with the most recent sea level data. It finally has been updated for 2008. It looks like the steady upward trend of sea level as measured by satellite has stumbled since 2005. The 60 day line in blue tells the story. From the University of Colorado web page: “Long-term mean sea level change is a variable of considerable interest in the studies of global climate change. The measurement of long-term changes in global mean sea level can provide an important corroboration of predictions by climate models of global warming. Long term sea level variations are primarily determined with two different methods.” - Yes, I would agree, it is indeed a variable of considerable interest. The question now is, how is it linked to global climate change (aka global warming) if CO2 continues to increase, and sea level does not? Peer-Reviewed Study: Recent worldwide land warming' NOT 'a direct response to increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) over land' - WorldClimateReport.com – December 3, 2008 ‘Rethinking Observed Warming?’ Key quote: “Evidence is presented that the recent worldwide land warming has occurred largely in response to a worldwide warming of the oceans rather than as a direct response to increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) over land.” Alert: 2008 will be coolest year of the decade!- December 5, 2008 Excerpt: This year is set to be the coolest since 2000, according to a preliminary estimate of global average temperature that is due to be released next week by the Met Office. The global average for 2008 should come in close to 14.3C, which is 0.14C below the average temperature for 2001-07. [Note: For evidence of the panic apparently gripping the promoters of man-made climate fear, read the quotes in the article from the warming partisans absolutely assuring everyone that cool temperatures are “absolutely not" evidence that global warming is on the wane. Those same voices are usually absent when it comes to linking heat waves to global warming. ] Flashback: Global Cooling? - 'Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof' - National Post – October 20, 2008 Report: NASA’s James Hansen "adjusts" a cooling trend into a warming trend - December 9, 2008 Excerpt: "[H]ere is what the data looks like before and after NASA GISS adjusts it. These are the USHCN “raw” and “homogenized” data plots from the GISTEMP website. The before and after is quite something to behold. ... What was down, is now up." "How not to measure temperature, part 79" Geophysist: ‘It is time to file this theory in the dustbin of history’ – ‘Alarmists are in denial and running for cover'- Washington Times By Geophysicist Dr. David Deming, associate professor of arts and sciences at the University of Oklahoma who has published numerous peer-reviewed research articles. Excerpt: Environmental extremists and global warming alarmists are in denial and running for cover. Their rationale for continuing a lost cause is that weather events in the short term are not necessarily related to long-term climatic trends. But these are the same people who screamed at us each year that ordinary weather events such as high temperatures or hurricanes were undeniable evidence of imminent doom. Now that global warming is over, politicians are finally ready to enact dubious solutions to a non-existent problem. […] To the extent global warming was ever valid, it is now officially over. It is time to file this theory in the dustbin of history, next to Aristotelean physics, Neptunism, the geocentric universe, phlogiston, and a plethora of other incorrect scientific theories, all of which had vocal and dogmatic supporters who cited incontrovertible evidence. Weather and climate change are natural processes beyond human control. To argue otherwise is to deny the factual evidence. Climate Chancellor' No More – Der Spiegel Excerpt: Angela Merkel is facing withering criticism for remarks she made on Monday that seemed to back away from her earlier commitment to tackling climate change. Alert: Under the Weather: Internal Report Says U.N. Climate Agency Rife With Bad Practices - Fox News – December 4, 2008 Excerpt: As more than 10,000 delegates and observers gather in Poznan, Poland, to discuss the next phase in the battle against "climate change," a U.N. agency at the center of that hoopla badly needs to do some in-house weather-proofing. […] But the WMO, the $80 million U.N. front-line agency in the climate change struggle, and the source for much of the world's information in the global atmosphere and water supply, has serious management problems of its own, despite its rapidly expanding global ambitions. The international agency has been sharply criticized by a U.N. inspection unit in a confidential report obtained by FOX News, for, among other things, haphazard budget practices, deeply flawed organizational procedures, and no effective oversight by the 188 nations that formally make up its membership and dole out its funds. The inspection was carried out by a member of the United Nations Joint Inspection Unit (JIU), a small, independent branch of the U.N. that reports to the General Assembly and is mandated to improve the organization's efficiency and coordination through its inspection process. […] WMO did not respond to a series of questions from FOX News regarding its future programs, sent on the eve of the Poznan meeting. 16-year-old suggests sheep dung can help save planet Card business has really dung good - Daily Post North WalesExcerpt: The company makes its products at the Twll Golau Papermill in Aberllefenni Slate Quarry using sustainable fuel and materials. Every sheet of paper is made from recycled materials, including sheep dung, waste paper and discarded rags, using processes designed to affect the natural environment as little as possible. […] Katie 16, from Tal-y-Bont, Conwy, was appointed to help spread the word on how Wales can reduce its carbon footprint and is urging other North Wales businesses to follow Creative Paper Wales’ example and
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74. Thursday, December 11, 2008 6:42 AM |
jordan |
RE: The Inconvenient Truth....about.... |
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PLUS, there was snow in Houston yesterday!
Jordan .
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75. Thursday, December 11, 2008 10:16 AM |
nuart |
RE: The Inconvenient Truth....about.... |
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Man, it's probably in the 50s here in SoCal this morning too! Brrrrrrrrrrrrrr!!! I wore a sweatshirt yesterday! (while picking out this year's Christmas tree -- a Grand Fir) Susan
“Half a truth is often a great lie.” Ben Franklin
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