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1. Thursday, July 30, 2009 8:01 AM
nuart The Honeymoon is Over


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And I seem to recall predicting it might last six months. 

Have you seen the latest polls ?

I wish there were someone I could see as a potential leader but there really seems to be a dearth.  Now more than ever that old Hollywood adage (was it William Goldman who coined the phrase?) "Nobody knows anything" seems accurate.

Susan


     
“Half a truth is often a great lie.”

 

Ben Franklin

 
2. Friday, July 31, 2009 7:16 AM
jordan RE: The Honeymoon is Over

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health care is going be key for Obama. And it looks like it's DOA. So if the stimulus package doesn't kick start the economy soon, by end year I think we'll see Obama's poll numbers in the 30s for approval. Bad sign when you're going into an election year. Dems might have to say goodbye to their majorities next Nov at this rate.


Jordan .

 
3. Friday, July 31, 2009 9:24 PM
R_Flagg RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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I think the lower poll ratings reflect more on congress than Obama individually. I get the sense people are fed up with the congress on both sides of the ales right now. Obama simply can't get control of the congress. This worries even Obama supporters like myself because they are screwing up Obama's initiatives pretty badly right now. I give Bush credit for controlling his partisan congress although it untimely lost them control.

Republicans really shouldn't concern themselves over these poll numbers and instead worry about finding an intelligent, charismatic, and sane leader for the party. 2012 isn't that far away and they really have nothing as far as a leader. The right comes across as simply complainers with no ideas. (Sound familier to early 2000's democrats?) Ousting an incumbent president is difficult. What will ultimately help Obama is a strong stock market if it continues which I think it will. People don't want change when the market is strong.

It's easy right now for republicans to simply fall into lazy John Kerry campaign mode and assume low poll ratings will carry them to a win. My prediction (I know its early) but Obama will be thanking Bernanke for a second term. Should be an interesting build up to 2012!!!

 

R_Flagg

 

 
4. Friday, July 31, 2009 9:50 PM
jordan RE: The Honeymoon is Over

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2012? Oh my....I can hardly think a year ahead right now with politics. :-) I agree with you on 2012 election. But I think 2010, if things keep going this way, we'll see a slight upheaval in the Congress. Which I think is why Obama admin is pushing so hard to get things passed. They know that in 2010, the Congressional makeup is probably going to change so this is possibly their only chance.

Obama does have time on his side at this point. The economy will probably improve by 2011 so I am fully expecting Obama to have a second term already.


Jordan .

 
5. Saturday, August 1, 2009 6:56 PM
R_Flagg RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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HaHa, yeah I guess its to early for 2012 talk. I expect to see some republicans pick up seats in congress in 2010. Maybe 2014 will have a republican congress and democrat president and all will be right in the world again ;)

 

R_Flagg

 
6. Saturday, August 1, 2009 7:04 PM
jordan RE: The Honeymoon is Over

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LOL. Oh that'll be nice. I never like it when one party controls everything. they do stupid things when they have too much power.


Jordan .

 
7. Saturday, August 1, 2009 10:01 PM
nuart RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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QUOTE:LOL. Oh that'll be nice. I never like it when one party controls everything. they do stupid things when they have too much power.

 

Isn't that what we have always craved, Jordan -- the split between congress and the executive branch.  Do Democrats feel the same?  Or... as a generality, would you Dems on board prefer the whole shebang?  In other words, the Absolute Power position.

 

Susan


     
“Half a truth is often a great lie.”

 

Ben Franklin

 
8. Saturday, August 1, 2009 10:31 PM
R_Flagg RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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QUOTE:
QUOTE:LOL. Oh that'll be nice. I never like it when one party controls everything. they do stupid things when they have too much power.

 

Isn't that what we have always craved, Jordan -- the split between congress and the executive branch.  Do Democrats feel the same?  Or... as a generality, would you Dems on board prefer the whole shebang?  In other words, the Absolute Power position.

 

Susan

HaHa Susan. You know deep down you would want complete power. ;) It's human nature. It's not like you're gonna vote for Obama to keep the balance of power!  Would you?

 R_Flagg


 

 
9. Sunday, August 2, 2009 6:00 AM
jordan RE: The Honeymoon is Over

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I've voted for a Democrat congressman solely to help ensure balance. :-) But then again, it's sometimes hard to tell the difference between a KS Democrat and Republican. :)


Jordan .

 
10. Tuesday, August 11, 2009 1:16 PM
goodmorningamerica RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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hopefully America will say no.


Bleep you, & bleep the establishment, and bleep all of you who are trying to make me part of the unestablished establishment.

 
11. Thursday, August 13, 2009 7:18 AM
nuart RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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QUOTE:

QUOTE:
QUOTE:LOL. Oh that'll be nice. I never like it when one party controls everything. they do stupid things when they have too much power.

 

Isn't that what we have always craved, Jordan -- the split between congress and the executive branch.  Do Democrats feel the same?  Or... as a generality, would you Dems on board prefer the whole shebang?  In other words, the Absolute Power position.

 

Susan

HaHa Susan. You know deep down you would want complete power. ;) It's human nature. It's not like you're gonna vote for Obama to keep the balance of power!  Would you?

 R_Flagg


 


 Sorry I missed this thread's latest comments. 

I DID vote for Obama.  

Susan


     
“Half a truth is often a great lie.”

 

Ben Franklin

 
12. Thursday, September 3, 2009 8:44 PM
nuart RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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This really didn't take long, did it? Can Obama regain his footing or is everything all tumbling down so soon?

From the NYT (THE NEW YORK TIMES, I said) 

 

 


September 1, 2009
Op-Ed Columnist

The Obama Slide

Two tides swept over American politics last winter. The first was the Obama tide. Barack Obama came into office with an impressive 70 percent approval rating. The second was the independent tide. Over the first months of this year, the number of people who called themselves either Democrats or Republicans declined, while the number who called themselves independents surged ahead.

Obama’s challenge was to push his agenda through a Democratic-controlled government while retaining the affection of the 39 percent of Americans in the middle.

The administration hasn’t been able to pull it off. From the stimulus to health care, it has joined itself at the hip to the liberal leadership in Congress. The White House has failed to veto measures, like the pork-laden omnibus spending bill, that would have demonstrated independence and fiscal restraint. By force of circumstances and by design, the president has promoted one policy after another that increases spending and centralizes power in Washington.

The result is the Obama slide, the most important feature of the current moment. The number of Americans who trust President Obama to make the right decisions has fallen by roughly 17 percentage points. Obama’s job approval is down to about 50 percent. All presidents fall from their honeymoon highs, but in the history of polling, no newly elected American president has fallen this far this fast.

Anxiety is now pervasive. Trust in government rose when Obama took office. It has fallen back to historic lows. Fifty-nine percent of Americans now think the country is headed in the wrong direction.

The public’s view of Congress, which ticked upward for a time, has plummeted. Charlie Cook, who knows as much about Congressional elections as anyone in the country, wrote recently that Democratic fortunes have “slipped completely out of control.” He and the experts he surveyed believe there is just as much chance that the Democrats could lose more than 20 House seats in the next elections as less than 20.

There are also warning signs in the Senate. A recent poll shows Harry Reid, the majority leader, trailing the Republican Danny Tarkanian, a possible 2010 opponent, by 49 percent to 38 percent. When your majority leader is down to a 38 percent base in his home state, that’s not good.

The public has soured on Obama’s policy proposals. Voters often have only a fuzzy sense of what each individual proposal actually does, but more and more have a growing conviction that if the president is proposing it, it must involve big spending, big government and a fundamental departure from the traditional American approach.

Driven by this general anxiety, and by specific concerns, public opposition to health care reform is now steady and stable. Independents once solidly supported reform. Now they have swung against it. As the veteran pollster Bill McInturff has pointed out, public attitudes toward Obamacare exactly match public attitudes toward Clintoncare when that reform effort collapsed in 1994.

Amazingly, some liberals are now lashing out at Obama because the entire country doesn’t agree with The Huffington Post. Some now argue that the administration should just ignore the ignorant masses and ram health care through using reconciliation, the legislative maneuver that would reduce the need for moderate votes.

This would be suicidal. You can’t pass the most important domestic reform in a generation when the majority of voters think you are on the wrong path. To do so would be a sign of unmitigated arrogance. If Obama agrees to use reconciliation, he will permanently affix himself to the liberal wing of his party and permanently alienate independents. He will be president of 35 percent of the country — and good luck getting anything done after that.

The second liberal response has been to attack the budget director, Peter Orszag. It was a mistake to put cost control at the center of the health reform sales job, many now argue. The president shouldn’t worry about the deficit. Just pass the spending parts.

But fiscal restraint is now the animating issue for moderate Americans. To take the looming $9 trillion in debt and balloon it further would be to enrage a giant part of the electorate.

This is a country that has always been suspicious of centralized government. This is a country that has just lived through an economic trauma caused by excessive spending and debt. Most Americans still admire Obama and want him to succeed. But if he doesn’t proceed in a manner consistent with the spirit of the nation and the times, voters will find a way to stop him.

The president’s challenge now is to halt the slide. That doesn’t mean giving up his goals. It means he has to align his proposals to the values of the political center: fiscal responsibility, individual choice and decentralized authority.

Events have pushed Barack Obama off to the left. Time to rebalance.

 

 


     
“Half a truth is often a great lie.”

 

Ben Franklin

 
13. Friday, September 4, 2009 2:52 PM
R_Flagg RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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Does anyone buy this so called independent movement? Independent isn't a party. Is it just a concept from people who want to elect someone who believes every single thing they do? Something that will never happen. Most independents have either a right or left wing philosophy at heart. Of course, if you differ on opinion in just one issue you will be labeled left wing socialist or right wing fascist by the social masses in this country, even if you claim to be in the "middle"

I actually would like to see Obama get a little George W on this congress and push legislation through on health care without regard to what critics think. He may lose poll numbers but at least he would do what he promised. George Bush never let congress, critics, polls, or the law get in his way.

Now Obama is teaching socialism to our kids? Where has everything gone so wrong?!?! It's all falling apart.

R_Flagg

 
14. Friday, September 4, 2009 7:00 PM
newraymond RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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It's  older almost than obama. The Public School system with Wiki textbooks.

Anyway, I'm going to defer to an invalid and his take on the creepy factor of the Pied Piper.

Obama, the Mortal

By Charles Krauthammer
Friday, September 4, 2009

 

What happened to President Obama? His wax wings having melted, he is the man who fell to earth. What happened to bring his popularity down further than that of any new president in polling history save Gerald Ford (post-Nixon pardon)?

The conventional wisdom is that Obama made a tactical mistake by farming out his agenda to Congress and allowing himself to be pulled left by the doctrinaire liberals of the Democratic congressional leadership. But the idea of Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi pulling Obama left is quite ridiculous. Where do you think he came from, this friend of Chávista ex-terrorist William Ayers, of PLO apologist Rashid Khalidi, of racialist inciter Jeremiah Wright?

But forget the character witnesses. Just look at Obama's behavior as president, beginning with his first address to Congress. Unbidden, unforced and unpushed by the congressional leadership, Obama gave his most deeply felt vision of America, delivering the boldest social democratic manifesto ever issued by a U.S. president. In American politics, you can't get more left than that speech and still be on the playing field.

In a center-right country, that was problem enough. Obama then compounded it by vastly misreading his mandate. He assumed it was personal. This, after winning by a mere seven points in a year of true economic catastrophe, of an extraordinarily unpopular Republican incumbent, and of a politically weak and unsteady opponent. Nonetheless, Obama imagined that, as Fouad Ajami so brilliantly observed, he had won the kind of banana-republic plebiscite that grants caudillo-like authority to remake everything in one's own image.

Accordingly, Obama unveiled his plans for a grand makeover of the American system, animating that vision by enacting measure after measure that greatly enlarged state power, government spending and national debt. Not surprisingly, these measures engendered powerful popular skepticism that burst into tea-party town-hall resistance.

Obama's reaction to that resistance made things worse. Obama fancies himself tribune of the people, spokesman for the grass roots, harbinger of a new kind of politics from below that would upset the established lobbyist special-interest order of Washington. Yet faced with protests from a real grass-roots movement, his party and his supporters called it a mob -- misinformed, misled, irrational, angry, unhinged, bordering on racist. All this while the administration was cutting backroom deals with every manner of special interest -- from drug companies to auto unions to doctors -- in which favors worth billions were quietly and opaquely exchanged.

"Get out of the way" and "don't do a lot of talking," the great bipartisan scolded opponents whom he blamed for creating the "mess" from which he is merely trying to save us. If only they could see. So with boundless confidence in his own persuasiveness, Obama undertook a summer campaign to enlighten the masses by addressing substantive objections to his reforms.

Things got worse still. With answers so slippery and implausible and, well, fishy, he began jeopardizing the most fundamental asset of any new president -- trust. You can't say that the system is totally broken and in need of radical reconstruction, but nothing will change for you; that Medicare is bankrupting the country, but $500 billion in cuts will have no effect on care; that you will expand coverage while reducing deficits -- and not inspire incredulity and mistrust. When ordinary citizens understand they are being played for fools, they bristle.

After a disastrous summer -- mistaking his mandate, believing his press, centralizing power, governing left, disdaining citizens for (of all things) organizing -- Obama is in trouble.

Let's be clear: This is a fall, not a collapse. He's not been repudiated or even defeated. He will likely regroup and pass some version of health insurance reform that will restore some of his clout and popularity.

But what has occurred -- irreversibly -- is this: He's become ordinary. The spell is broken. The charismatic conjurer of 2008 has shed his magic. He's regressed to the mean, tellingly expressed in poll numbers hovering at 50 percent.

For a man who only recently bred a cult, ordinariness is a great burden, and for his acolytes, a crushing disappointment. Obama has become a politician like others. And like other flailing presidents, he will try to salvage a cherished reform -- and his own standing -- with yet another prime-time speech.

But for the first time since election night in Grant Park, he will appear in the most unfamiliar of guises -- mere mortal, a treacherous transformation to which a man of Obama's supreme self-regard may never adapt.

 
15. Saturday, September 5, 2009 9:00 AM
jordan RE: The Honeymoon is Over

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R_Flag - independents are generally (not all) flaky, IMO. I don't mean mentally flaky - i mean politically flaky. they go with which way the political wind blows most of the time. However, those who call themselves "indepdent" are important to watch in polls. As their numbers change, and the Rs and Ds change, you can determine the ebb and flow of politics in the country. So as much as I "buy in" to the fact that I's gave Obama the final victory in November, it is also this "flaky" group that will quickly rebel when they see the tide moving away. Don't dismiss Indepdents.

Most politicians aren't going to ram legislation through. Bush was rarity in that case (and in almost all cases he had more support than what Obama has right now for health care).

Obama pushing health care has come at the wrong time. Bad economy, bad stimulus package, rising unemployment, dropping govt revenue does not make it easy to pass health care. He's already spent his political capital - he didn't have as much as he thought/hoped he had when he walked into the WH in Jan.


Jordan .

 
16. Sunday, September 6, 2009 7:58 AM
nuart RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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I think it's REALLY hard to be the President of the USA.  Maybe even harder to do now that at any time including the first time around, during the Civil War, the Great Depression or WWII.

 

Susan


     
“Half a truth is often a great lie.”

 

Ben Franklin

 
17. Wednesday, September 9, 2009 3:17 PM
nuart RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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Still falling...

 

Obama disapproval on health care up to 52 percent

By ALAN FRAM, Associated Press Writer Alan Fram, Associated Press Writer 1 hr 44 mins ago
 
WASHINGTON – Public disapproval of President Barack Obama's handling of health care has jumped to 52 percent, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll released hours before he makes his case for overhaul in a prime-time address to Congress.

With his health revamp moving slowly and unemployment edging ever higher, Obama's overall approval rating has also suffered a blow. The survey showed that 49 percent now disapprove of how he is handling his job as president, up from 42 percent who disapproved in July.

The grade people give Obama on health care also has worsened since July, when just 43 percent disapproved of his work on the issue.

The poll underscores how the president has struggled to win public support to reshape the nation's $2.5 trillion health care system and to put the brakes on a deep recession.

Forty-nine percent say they oppose the health overhaul plans being considered by Congress, compared to just 34 percent who favor them.

People are about evenly split over what lawmakers should do now on health care: About four in 10 say they should keep trying to pass a bill this year while about the same number say they should start over again.

Significantly, though, only about two in 10 say the health care system should be left as is.

There is a clear public desire for a bipartisan approach on the issue. Eight in 10 say it's important that any plan that passes Congress should have the support of both parties, while two-thirds want Obama and Democrats to try winning support from Republicans, who with few exceptions have opposed the Democratic drive.

Obama's marks are also poor on the economy, with 52 percent saying they disapprove of how he's handled that issue.

A similar number disapprove of his handling of taxes, some of which may rise to help finance his health overhaul. And 56 percent dislike his handling of the budget deficit, which has skyrocketed under the costs of the financial bailouts and a recession that has caused sinking federal revenues.

The survey of 1,001 adults with cell and landline telephones was conducted from Sept. 3-8. It had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

 


     
“Half a truth is often a great lie.”

 

Ben Franklin

 
18. Wednesday, October 21, 2009 5:44 PM
nuart RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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...or to put it another way (since a pitcher is worth how many words?), check out this graph of the Drastic Approval Slide since January, a few short months ago.  Trend or temporary anomaly?o

 

Now it's not just the President  who is disapproved of.  These days, it's hard to think of too many individuals in any walk of life  that deserve high approval ratings.

 

Susan

 


     
“Half a truth is often a great lie.”

 

Ben Franklin

 
19. Wednesday, October 21, 2009 8:19 PM
jordan RE: The Honeymoon is Over

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doesn't help when you have these kinds of numbers going on....

(yes, i know it's from a GOP site, but the numbers, I'm assuming are correct and can be checked at the Bureau of Labor Stats website)

there's a point in which you can't blame previous administration for your woes. I think we're at that point.

And CNN had an interesting poll too this week.


Jordan .

 
20. Thursday, October 22, 2009 1:08 AM
newraymond RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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Just a thought. i wonder what Obama's approval rating will be in about 2019 if Obamacare and or Cap and Tax pass? Being objective here the best thing for Obama's place in history will indeed depend on these items and the Afgan situation. If Obamacare and Cap and Tax are defeated and he can navigate Afghanistan and maintain domestic safety from enemies, he could be reasonable highly regarded.

Even that is  if the budget busting -even without O care and C & T doesn't sink the USA ship with the weakened/lost dollar as the world's reserve currency and permanent higher unemployment rates and inflation-even hyper inflation as a result of the ineffective wastful stimulous bill(s) and govt. takeover of autos, and a repeat -which is happening already- of Fed loan programs to shaky mortgagors e.g. 3% down payment on home loans!! That kind of crap is how we got here! 

I am truly sorry to say that everything, every approach Obama is taking seems wrong to me.  

Huckabee is looking good to me for 2012. He gets the Constitution and he was probably incorrectly painted as somewhat of a big spending Republican for the 2008 primaries..

 
21. Wednesday, October 28, 2009 6:32 PM
newraymond RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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Let me post an opinion piece concerning  The Fresh Prince of Bill Ayers.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009    Townhall.com
Thomas Sowell :: Townhall.com Columnist
Dismantling America
by Thomas Sowell

Just one year ago, would you have believed that an unelected government official, not even a Cabinet member confirmed by the Senate but simply one of the many "czars" appointed by the President, could arbitrarily cut the pay of executives in private businesses by 50 percent or 90 percent?

Did you think that another "czar" would be talking about restricting talk radio? That there would be plans afloat to subsidize newspapers-- that is, to create a situation where some newspapers' survival would depend on the government liking what they publish?

Did you imagine that anyone would even be talking about having a panel of so-called "experts" deciding who could and could not get life-saving medical treatments?

Scary as that is from a medical standpoint, it is also chilling from the standpoint of freedom. If you have a mother who needs a heart operation or a child with some dire medical condition, how free would you feel to speak out against an administration that has the power to make life and death decisions about your loved ones ?

Does any of this sound like America?

How about a federal agency giving school children material to enlist them on the side of the president? Merely being assigned to sing his praises in class is apparently not enough.

How much of America would be left if the federal government continued on this path? President Obama has already floated the idea of a national police force, something we have done without for more than two centuries.

We already have local police forces all across the country and military forces for national defense, as well as the FBI for federal crimes and the National Guard for local emergencies. What would be the role of a national police force created by Barack Obama, with all its leaders appointed by him? It would seem more like the brown shirts of dictators than  like anything American.

How far the President will go depends of course on how much resistance he meets. But the direction in which he is trying to go tells us more than all his rhetoric or media spin.

Barack Obama has not only said that he is out to "change the United States of America," the people he has been associated with for years have expressed in words and deeds their hostility to the values, the principles and the people of this country.

Jeremiah Wright said it with words: "God damn America!" Bill Ayers said it with bombs that he planted. Community activist goons have said it with their contempt for the rights of other people.

Among the people appointed as czars by President Obama have been people who have praised enemy dictators like Mao, who have seen the public schools as places to promote sexual practices contrary to the values of most , to a captive audience of children.

Those who say that the Obama administration should have investigated those people more thoroughly before appointing them are missing the point completely. Why should we assume that Barack Obama didn't know what such people were like, when he has been associating with precisely these kinds of people for decades before he reached the White House?

Nothing is more consistent with his lifelong patterns than putting such people in government-- people who reject American values, resent Americans in general and successful Americans in particular, as well as resenting America's influence in the world.

Any miscalculation on his part would be in not thinking that others would discover what these stealth appointees were like. Had it not been for the Fox News Channel, these stealth appointees might have remained unexposed for what they are. Fox News is now high on the administration's enemies list.

Nothing so epitomizes President Obama's own contempt for American values and traditions like trying to ram two bills through Congress in his first year-- each bill more than a thousand pages long-- too fast for either of them to be read, much less discussed. That he succeeded only the first time says that some people are starting to wake up. Whether enough people will wake up in time to keep America from being dismantled, piece by piece, is another question-- and the biggest question for this generation.

********************************************************

What do you think? Has the author made some valid points ? Is he completely off base ?

 

 
22. Thursday, October 29, 2009 10:02 AM
bio_hazard RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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Yes- pretty much off base.

 The one thing I don't get is the White House's attention to Fox News/ Rush Limbaugh. i personally think the white house is just posturing to seem more liberal than they really are to 1) re-energize the left for health care reform and 2) distract the anti-war wing of the left re: afghanistan.  Maybe also to inflame the right to make it less likely that more centrist republicans can regain their footing in the GOP.  Most of what's been going on is rhetoric, although things like spurning Fox interviews, etc seem sketchy to me re: free speech and press.

The rest of the piece is pretty laughable scare piece imho. 

 
23. Friday, October 30, 2009 4:19 PM
newraymond RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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Bio, your analysis of the white house v. Fox may well be correct. I am glad you see the free speech threat it represents.

Take care man.

 
24. Friday, October 30, 2009 9:10 PM
Booth RE: The Honeymoon is Over


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QUOTE:
Did you imagine that anyone would even be talking about having a panel of so-called "experts" deciding who could and could not get life-saving medical treatments?
It's a chilling vision of the present.

 
25. Saturday, October 31, 2009 6:07 AM
jordan RE: The Honeymoon is Over

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The difference is that it's govt, and you can't sue the govt.


Jordan .

 

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